The adopted outlook projects a $0.65 billion balance at the end of 2027-29 with the tax. Removing the tax but keeping its relief, as I-645 would, turns that into a shortfall of about $2.0 billion on the adopted figures, $2.9 billion on the September forecast, or $4.4 billion from WRC's adjusted balance: 2.5% to 5.4% of projected 2027-29 spending.
| balance2729Billions | cutShareOfSpendingPct | label | scenario | spendingGrowthToClosePct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.653 | With tax | Adopted outlook, with the tax | ||
| -1.66 | 2.03 | Minus net | Adopted outlook minus net tax revenue | 0.9 |
| -2.04 | 2.5 | Minus gross | Adopted outlook minus gross tax revenue (relief kept) | 0.4 |
| -2.85 | 3.49 | Sept gross | Adopted outlook minus Sept 2026 gross tax revenue | -0.6 |
| -4.43 | 5.42 | WRC adjusted | WRC-adjusted balance minus Sept 2026 gross tax revenue | -2.6 |