# Promises: verbatim quotes for FactHub statement and forecast records Compiled 2026-10-10. Companion to `promises-vs-outcomes.md` and `verification.md`. Method: for every quote marked VERIFIED-VERBATIM, I downloaded the primary document myself (curl, then `pdftotext` for PDFs or tag-stripping for HTML) and copied the text from the extraction. I did not use AI page summaries for quote text. Smart quotes, apostrophes and dashes were normalized from HTML entities. In the 2005 plan PDF, `pdftotext` renders the em dash as "--", and that is how it appears below. Status key: - **VERIFIED-VERBATIM**: I read the primary-source text myself. - **SECONDARY-ONLY**: found only in news coverage. Not usable as a quote. - **NOT FOUND**: no source located. **Corrections to earlier notes:** 1. **The 2005 plan's target year is 2014, not 2015.** The plan's own introduction (unnumbered page, PDF p.9) says "ending homelessness in King County by 2014". Its outcome lists all begin "By 2014". `verification.md` says the plan "never says 2015". That is right, but the plan does give an explicit year, and the year is 2014. The "by 2015" wording comes from later documents. 2. **Harrell's 2021 pledge is not his own quoted speech.** It is narrative text in a campaign press release ("Harrell pledges to ..."). It should be attributed to the Harrell campaign release, not quoted as words Harrell spoke. 3. **The Pathways Home "500 families" first-person pledge was written by HSD Director Catherine Lester, not Mayor Murray.** It appeared in a Crosscut op-ed under her byline: "Mayor Murray and I believe ...". 4. **Partnership for Zero: the primary source never says "functional zero".** The launch site's wording is "reach phase five in what could be as fast as 12 months". The phrase "functional zero" appears only in press coverage. --- ## 1. Ten-Year Plan to End Homelessness, "A Roof Over Every Bed in King County" (2005) **Primary source:** Committee to End Homelessness in King County, *A Roof Over Every Bed in King County: Our Community's Ten-Year Plan to End Homelessness* (2005; 52-page PDF, 38 printed pages plus front matter). - Original URL (dead): http://cehkc.org/DOC_plan/10-YearPlanFinal.pdf - Copy I read: http://web.archive.org/web/2008/http://cehkc.org/DOC_plan/10-YearPlanFinal.pdf - Page numbers below are the printed footer numbers ("A Roof Over Every Bed in King County Page N"), with the PDF page in parentheses where they differ. ### Statement 1a: end homelessness by 2014 - **quote:** "Our Community's Ten-Year Plan to End Homelessness documents our commitment to ending homelessness in King County by 2014 and outlines strategies that will support this goal." - **page:** "Plan Structure and Content", an unnumbered front-matter page (PDF p.9) - **context:** This is the first paragraph of the plan's "Plan Structure and Content" page. The next sentences describe the chapters, and Chapter 2 is said to include "the anticipated outcomes over ten years." The Executive Summary (p.i) repeats the aim without a year: "Although the focus of this plan is to end homelessness within ten years through strategies that emphasize permanent housing alternatives and supportive services, the Committee to End Homelessness in King County recognizes that people experiencing homelessness are at immediate personal risk and have a basic right to safety". The next page (p.ii) says: "As a community, we can--and we will--end homelessness." The Executive Summary baseline (p.i): "More than 8,000 people experience homelessness on any given night in the suburban cities, urban centers, and rural towns of King County according to our local One Night Count." **Later framing:** the 2011 Mid-Plan Review and the 2006 Seattle Times describe the deadline as 2015. The All Home Strategic Plan (2015) called the plan "an aspirational goal for the community" (p.7). - **speaker:** Committee to End Homelessness in King County (CEHKC) - **speakerRole:** authoring body of the county's ten-year plan, a coalition of King County, Seattle, other cities, United Way, faith and business groups - **date:** approved by CEHKC membership March 7, 2005 (per Exec. Ron Sims's transmittal, council file 2005-0313); "fully launched in July 2005" (CEHKC plan page, Wayback 2008-05-20) - **venue:** plan document - **claimType:** promise ### Statement 1b: 9,500 units - **quote:** "D. Secure 9,500 Units of Housing for Homeless Persons" (section heading, p.9). Under it, at p.10: "By 2014, our communities will have: [...] Developed 4,500 new units of housing and secured 5,000 existing units located throughout the county, and assured that they remain affordable long-term to people who have been homeless" - **context:** This is one of six "Principal Actions" (Chapter 2). The interim target in the same section (p.9) is: "Within the first five years, our communities will: [...] Identify and secure 1,000 units of existing rental housing that can be leased or purchased and rehabilitated for use as permanent housing with on-site or linked support services". The p.15 table "Type of Housing and Support Needed by Homeless Subpopulations Over 10 Years" totals 9,500. The extracted table is jumbled; the split per `verification.md` is chronic 2,500, other single adults 4,800, families 1,900, youth/young adults 300. Of the total, 3,625 units need intensive services, 3,275 moderate and 2,600 none. - speaker / role / date / venue: as 1a. **claimType:** promise ### Statement 1c: chronic street homelessness down 25% (year 5) and 98% (2014) - **quote (p.6):** "Within the first five years, our communities will: [...] Reduce chronic homelessness in our communities by 25%." - **quote (pp.6-7):** "By 2014, in our county we will have: [...] Decreased the number of chronically homeless on our streets by 98% [...] Decreased 98% the number of youth, young adults, individuals, and families that lose their housing and experience "street" homelessness" - **context:** These sit in Principal Action A (prevention and system outcomes) in Chapter 2. They are the plan's only numeric population targets. The 98% applies to *chronically homeless people on the streets* and to *new street homelessness*, not to total homelessness. The 2011 Mid-Plan Review paraphrased them as "25 percent reduction in the number of homeless" and "98 percent reduction in the number of homeless", which drops "chronic" and "street". The plan's chronic baseline (p.i) is "5,105 single adults, including 2,500 that meet the federal definition for chronically homeless". - speaker / role / date / venue: as 1a. **claimType:** promise ### Forecast records | Metric | Unit | Target | Horizon | Outcome | Source | Comparability | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | Housing units for homeless people | units | 9,500 (4,500 new + 5,000 existing) | 2014 | "More than 5,700 units of housing were secured" (p.7). Separately, "6,314 units of permanent housing with supports funded since 2004, for a total of 8,337 units of permanent housing with supports countywide" (p.12) | All Home Strategic Plan 2015-2019, http://web.archive.org/web/2016/http://allhomekc.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/All-Home-Strategic-Plan.pdf (I read it, VERIFIED) | "Secured" (5,700) and "funded since 2004" (6,314) are different measures. 6,314 starts a year before the plan. That is 60% or 66% of the target. | | Units by year 5 | units | 1,000 existing units secured | 2010 | 3,720 open plus 793 in pipeline (2011 Mid-Plan Review, per `promises-vs-outcomes.md` §1; not re-read by me) | Mid-Plan Review via Seattle clerk, Wayback | — | | Homelessness ended | people homeless on a night (One Night Count / PIT) | about 0 (functional) | 2014 | Total about 10,000 in 2015. The All Home plan (p.3 area): "in 2015, on a given day, nearly 10,000 people are experiencing homelessness in King County, and almost 40 percent are unsheltered." PIT 2015 is 10,122 (`outcomes.md`). | All Home plan (VERIFIED); PIT per `outcomes.md` | ONC covered only "known areas"; the 2015 geography expanded; the 2005 baseline was "more than 8,000" | | Chronically homeless on streets | people | -25% by year 5; -98% by 2014 (baseline 2,500 chronic) | 2010 / 2014 | Not located for 2014. The 2017 HUD PIT counted 2,773 chronic (`promises-vs-outcomes.md` §4). | — | HUD redefined chronic homelessness in 2016. ONC did not identify chronic status. | **Status: VERIFIED-VERBATIM** (all three statements). --- ## 2. Veteran homelessness: end it by Dec 31, 2015 ### Statement 2a: Constantine, Operation: WelcomeOneHome - **Primary source:** King County Executive news release, "Campaign to help every homeless veteran in King County find a home by the end of 2015," Aug 11, 2015. - Original: http://www.kingcounty.gov/elected/executive/constantine/News/release/2015/August/11-welcome-one-home.aspx - Copy I read: http://web.archive.org/web/20151019220321/http://www.kingcounty.gov/elected/executive/constantine/News/release/2015/August/11-welcome-one-home.aspx - **quote:** "Many homeless military veterans have a housing voucher in their hands -- they just need a property manager to give them a chance," said King County Executive Dow Constantine. "Helping every veteran in King County find a safe, affordable place to live by the end of the year requires a community-wide effort, one that I am proud to be a part of." - **context:** The release opens: "King County has launched a community-wide campaign to help every local homeless military veteran find housing by Dec. 31, 2015." It gives the baseline: "So far in 2015, 426 homeless veterans have received permanent housing placements, leaving an estimated 662 others homeless." It ties the campaign to the White House challenge: "The campaign is conducted in conjunction with the Mayor's Challenge to End Veteran Homelessness, introduced by the White House last year. Executive Constantine signed on, as did Seattle Mayor Ed Murray, Algona Mayor David Hill, Auburn Mayor Nancy Backus, Kenmore Mayor David Baker, and Renton Mayor Denis Law." The launch was at Seattle Central College. Others quoted in the release: - Speaker Frank Chopp: "we can end veteran homelessness in King County this year" - Deputy Exec. Fred Jarrett: "help us find a home for every homeless veteran in King County by year end" - Mayor Ed Murray did not state a deadline. His quote is about veterans being "unable to find a warm bed at night." - **speaker:** Dow Constantine; **speakerRole:** King County Executive - **date:** 2015-08-11; **venue:** press release (campaign launch event) - **claimType:** promise ### Statement 2b: All Home Strategic Plan (CoC plan) - **Primary source:** All Home, *Strategic Plan 2015-2019*, printed p.3 (PDF p.6). Copy I read: http://web.archive.org/web/2016/http://allhomekc.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/All-Home-Strategic-Plan.pdf - **quote:** "End Veteran Homelessness by 2015: Our goal is for all Veterans to be housed or in shelter and on a pathway to housing (what USICH is calling "functionally zero" homeless). We believe we can achieve this goal, as we have permanent housing resources for about 900 of the 1096 Veterans who are homeless in King County." - **context:** The preceding sentence says the goals "are aligned with the U.S. Interagency Council on Homelessness Opening Doors plan, which set out the following objectives". It is followed by "End Chronic Homelessness by 2017", "End Youth/Young Adult Homelessness by 2020" and "End Family Homelessness by 2020". - **speaker:** All Home (formerly CEHKC); **speakerRole:** King County Continuum of Care planning body - **date:** 2015 (King County Council endorsement about Aug 31, 2015); **venue:** plan document; **claimType:** promise / prediction ("We believe we can achieve this goal") ### Forecast record - **metric:** homeless veterans not housed or sheltered (functional zero); **unit:** people; **target:** 0 (functional zero); baseline 662 (Aug 2015 estimate) or 1,096 (All Home) - **horizon:** 2015-12-31 - **outcome:** not met. KUOW (Patricia Murphy, 2015-12-28, https://www.kuow.org/stories/king-county-wont-meet-goal-end-veteran-homelessness): "Seattle didn't reach a national goal to end veteran homelessness in 2015" and "Seattle and King County made progress toward that milestone but fell short." This is secondary, but it is a news outcome report, not a quote of the promise. PIT veterans: 608 (2015), 1,329 (2017) per `promises-vs-outcomes.md` §8. I found no King County functional-zero declaration then or since. - **comparability:** the PIT veteran count changed method in 2017 and 2022. Functional zero is a by-name-list standard that PIT does not measure. **Status: VERIFIED-VERBATIM** (2a and 2b). The outcome rests on KUOW (secondary) plus PIT. --- ## 3. Mayor Bruce Harrell: 2,000 units (campaign 2021; office 2022) ### Statement 3a: campaign pledge - **Primary source:** Bruce Harrell for Seattle campaign release, "Bruce Harrell Unveils Homelessness Plans, Decries Lack of Action to Help People Out of Encampments as School Year Begins." The page is undated. The first Wayback capture is 2021-09-02 21:17 UTC, and PubliCola covered it Sept 3, 2021. - Original: https://www.bruceforseattle.com/bruce-harrell-unveils-homelessness-plans-decries-lack-of-action-to-help-people-out-of-encampments-as-school-year-begins/ - Copy I read: http://web.archive.org/web/20210902211722/https://www.bruceforseattle.com/bruce-harrell-unveils-homelessness-plans-decries-lack-of-action-to-help-people-out-of-encampments-as-school-year-begins/ - **quote (campaign narrative, not Harrell's spoken words):** "With the resources identified, Harrell pledges to identify and begin the process of moving people into 1,000 units of housing within the first 6 months of taking office, and securing an additional 1,000 units by the end of year one." - **context:** This paragraph follows Harrell's commitment of "a minimum budget threshold of 12% of city funds" plus ARPA, state and private money ("the resources identified"). The paragraph continues: "Complementing physical housing, Harrell will work to concurrently bring individualized, culturally-competent services and outreach to a needed scale". The event was at Green Lake / Lower Woodland Park. Harrell's own quoted words in the release contain no unit number. The closest is: "We must put our money where our values are, and provide the housing and services needed to restore lives, restore parks, and restore trust in city government". The release also says: "Harrell pledges to build a plan with greater transparency and a public dashboard". - **speaker:** Bruce Harrell campaign (Bruce Harrell for Seattle); **speakerRole:** candidate for Mayor of Seattle - **date:** about 2021-09-02; **venue:** campaign press release; **claimType:** promise ### Statement 3b: clarification as mayor ("identifying" 2,000 units) - **Primary source:** Office of the Mayor, "Mayor Harrell Releases One Seattle Homelessness Action Plan and Transparency Dashboard, Announces Acquisition of Dockside Apartments," May 31, 2022. - Original: https://harrell.seattle.gov/2022/05/31/mayor-harrell-releases-one-seattle-homelessness-action-plan-and-transparency-dashboard-announces-acquisition-of-dockside-apartments/ (Cloudflare blocks fetching) - Copy I read: http://web.archive.org/web/2023/https://harrell.seattle.gov/2022/05/31/mayor-harrell-releases-one-seattle-homelessness-action-plan-and-transparency-dashboard-announces-acquisition-of-dockside-apartments/ - **quote (Harrell):** "Dockside is a great example of how we can strategically deploy our resources to make an immediate impact, as we continue toward our goal of identifying 2000 new units for people experiencing homelessness this year." - **quote (release body, plan priority):** "Identifying 2000 units of shelter and permanent housing by year's end; 1300 units have been identified so far this year." - **context:** The Harrell quote opens: "We know access to housing is both a symptom of and a solution to the homelessness crisis," said Mayor Harrell. "This plan prioritizes creating new affordable housing and meeting immediate shelter and housing needs. [...]" The Dockside Apartments acquisition was announced at the same time. This is the first official restatement of the pledge as *identifying* units rather than opening them. The 6-month / 1,000-unit milestone is dropped. In 2025, Harrell's campaign told Axios the pledge was always to "identify" (Axios, Sept 30, 2025; secondary). - **speaker:** Bruce Harrell; **speakerRole:** Mayor of Seattle - **date:** 2022-05-31; **venue:** press release (Office of the Mayor); **claimType:** promise (restated/clarified) ### Forecast record - **metric:** housing and shelter units for homeless people. As promised, this means units "moving people into"/"secured". As clarified, it means units "identified". - **unit:** units; **target:** 1,000 within 6 months of taking office (by about July 2022); 2,000 total by end of year one - **horizon:** 2022-12-31 - **outcome (official):** "Total identified new housing and shelter units: 2,065. This exceeds the goal of identifying 2,000 units in 2022." Office of the Mayor, "One Seattle Homelessness Action Plan Posts Q4 Data Updates," Jan 27, 2023. https://harrell.seattle.gov/2023/01/27/one-seattle-homelessness-action-plan-posts-q4-data-updates/ (I read the Wayback copy: http://web.archive.org/web/2023/https://harrell.seattle.gov/2023/01/27/one-seattle-homelessness-action-plan-posts-q4-data-updates/). VERIFIED. - **outcome (independent):** PubliCola (Jan 4, 2023) found fewer than 300 of the dashboard's units were newly planned or funded in 2022. Axios (Sept 30, 2025) found fewer than 1,800 net new units opened from Jan 2022 to spring 2025. Both are secondary. - **comparability:** "identified" counts units that were planned, funded or under construction, including projects that began before Harrell. It is not the same as units opened. Score the original promise against units opened or moved into, and the clarified promise against "identified". **Status:** 3a and 3b **VERIFIED-VERBATIM**. 3a is campaign narrative, so attribute it to the release, not as Harrell's speech. Harrell's 2025 "identify" defense (Axios, Bolts) is **SECONDARY-ONLY**. --- ## 4. Partnership for Zero (Feb 17, 2022) - **Primary source:** Partnership for Zero launch website (led by KCRHA), homepage as captured on launch day. - Original: https://partnershipforzero.org/ - Copy I read: http://web.archive.org/web/20220217230652/https://partnershipforzero.org/ - **quote:** "In the Downtown core, we expect to reach phase five in what could be as fast as 12 months, though we expect some variance in timeline due to command center development and project staffing, client needs, and the availability of appropriate resources." - **goal quote (FAQ, same page):** "The goal of Partnership for Zero is to build a future where homelessness is rare overall and brief when it occurs, by combining resources and investing in targeted infrastructure and capacity to put every person who is experiencing unsheltered homelessness on the path toward permanent housing." - **context:** The site describes five phases: 1. Unified Command Center 2. By-Name List 3. Assessment 4. Peer navigation and placements ("The majority of shelter and housing placements will occur during this phase") 5. "Once Phase 4 is complete, KCRHA will maintain the infrastructure necessary to immediately respond to new individuals experiencing unsheltered homelessness in target areas." The 12-month sentence follows directly. It continues: "Partners expect that there will be learning and adjustment over the course of the project [...] We are committing to doing whatever is necessary to launch this program successfully –– we want to do this once, do it well, and make sure it's sustainable." The site says the effort is "Led by the King County Regional Homelessness Authority (KCRHA)" and funded through We Are In. The Schultz Family Foundation release of the same day (http://web.archive.org/web/2022/https://www.schultzfamilyfoundation.org/news-release/new-partnership-for-zero-collaboration-launches-to-dramatically-reduce-unsheltered-homelessness-in-downtown-seattle-with-support-from-cross-sector-funders) says it began "with more than $10 million of private contributions in the first year". **The phrase "functional zero" does not appear on the launch page.** Neither does the "fewer than 30" figure. Both come from press coverage. No Marc Dones quote containing the timeline was found in a primary source. - **speaker:** Partnership for Zero / King County Regional Homelessness Authority (organization). Marc Dones was KCRHA CEO, but the quote is unsigned organizational text. - **speakerRole:** regional homelessness authority leading the public-private demonstration project - **date:** 2022-02-17; **venue:** program launch website; **claimType:** prediction (hedged: "what could be as fast as") ### Forecast record - **metric:** reaching "phase five" in Downtown Seattle: placements complete and a maintenance-only response to new unsheltered people - **unit:** program phase (binary). Proxy: people on the downtown by-name list housed - **target:** phase five; **horizon:** about 2023-02-17 ("as fast as 12 months", explicitly hedged) - **outcome:** "In September 2023 KCRHA and partners decided to wind down the pilot program." Results: "Resolved six long-standing encampments and housed 231 people (213 households) that had been living unsheltered in downtown Seattle and the Chinatown/International District". Source: KCRHA, https://kcrha.org/resources/partnership-for-zero/ (Cloudflare blocks live fetch; read via http://web.archive.org/web/2025/https://kcrha.org/resources/partnership-for-zero/). VERIFIED. By-name list about 1,000 (PubliCola, secondary). - **comparability:** the forecast is a phase milestone, not a count. "Housed 231" covers the whole pilot (about 19 months), not 12 months. **Status: VERIFIED-VERBATIM** (organizational statement). The "functional zero" wording and any Dones quote are **SECONDARY-ONLY**. --- ## 5. Health Through Housing: 1,600 units (King County, Exec. Dow Constantine) ### Statement 5a: State of the County, May 11, 2021 (Constantine's own words) - **Primary source:** King County Executive news release with full text of the 2021 State of the County address. - Original: https://kingcounty.gov/elected/executive/constantine/news/release/2021/May/11-state-of-the-county.aspx - Copy I read: http://web.archive.org/web/20210618115943/https://kingcounty.gov/elected/executive/constantine/news/release/2021/May/11-state-of-the-county.aspx - **quote:** "Meeting this moment in the homelessness crisis starts here -- in Seattle's Uptown neighborhood -- where I am pleased to announce that King County is purchasing our first Health Through Housing hotel. We will have several more properties in several more cities to announce in the coming weeks, ultimately bringing safe, supportive housing to 1600 of our unhoused neighbors this year and next." - **context:** The preceding paragraph begins: "COVID 19 exacerbated the crisis of homelessness." The next sentence is: "In this one action we will permanently house more than one third of today's chronically homeless residents." - **speaker:** Dow Constantine; **speakerRole:** King County Executive; **date:** 2021-05-11; **venue:** State of the County address; **claimType:** promise ### Statement 5b: press release, July 29, 2021 (explicit deadline) - **Primary source:** King County Executive news release, July 29, 2021 (purchase agreements for the sixth through eighth HTH properties). - Original: https://kingcounty.gov/elected/executive/constantine/news/release/2021/July/29-health-through-housing.aspx - Copy I read: http://web.archive.org/web/20210729191334/https://kingcounty.gov/elected/executive/constantine/news/release/2021/July/29-health-through-housing.aspx - **quote:** "For too long, we've let process stand in the way of progress, and with our regional partners across King County we have acted swiftly to purchase the first eight Health Through Housing properties, a substantial step forward in our regional solution to chronic homelessness," said Executive Constantine. "Two months ago I announced the first purchase for Health through Housing, and with today's announcement we'll soon have 850 new supportive housing units ready to serve our community before this winter, and up to 1600 by the end of next year." - **context:** The quote follows the announcement of $96M in purchases in Federal Way, Pioneer Square (Canton Lofts) and North Seattle. The release says "King County is positioned to welcome almost 850 chronically homeless people off the streets and into their new homes before this winter." It adds that HTH was "introduced by Executive Constantine in his 2020 Budget Speech". - **speaker:** Dow Constantine; **speakerRole:** King County Executive; **date:** 2021-07-29; **venue:** press release (press conference); **claimType:** promise / prediction ### Statement 5c: earliest version (proposal, county document) - **Primary source:** King County, "Health Through Housing | Proposal Summary" (Proposed Ordinance 2020-0337), attached to the Shoreline City Manager update of Jan 8, 2021. I read it at https://cosweb.shorelinewa.gov/uploads/attachments/cmo/CouncilUpdatesAttachements/2021/20210108/hth.pdf - **quote:** "GOAL: HOUSE 40% OF CHRONIC HOMELESS POPULATION (based on HMIS)" and "By October 2022, house 1,600 King County residents who are experiencing or at risk of chronic homelessness--while reducing racial-ethnic disproportionality--by: 1. acquiring single-room settings like hotels while economic conditions are favorable, [...]" - **context:** The document also forecasts "approximately $50 million/year countywide" in tax revenue. Its metric is *residents housed*, not units. - **speaker:** King County (Executive's proposal); **date:** 2020 (undated; circulated by Jan 8, 2021); **venue:** proposal summary; **claimType:** promise ### Statement 5d: county plan restatement (2022) - **Primary source:** King County, *Revive & Thrive Recovery Plan 2022: Homelessness Response*, p.2. Copy I read: http://web.archive.org/web/20221204064708/https://kingcounty.gov/~/media/depts/executive/performance-strategy-budget/budget/COVID-19/Homelessness-Response-2022-Recovery-Plan.ashx?la=en - **quote:** "By the end of 2022, a goal of up to 1,600 emergency housing and permanent supportive housing units for people experiencing chronic homelessness will be created with onsite behavioral health and 24/7 wrap around services." - **context:** The text follows "Health Through Housing recognizes that the ability to sleep in a bed, to use a bathroom, to feel safe, and to have the dignity of a place to live are foundations of health." Page 4 repeats it as "By the end of 2022, King County will partner with local jurisdictions with the goal of creating up to 1,600 emergency housing and permanent supportive housing units for people experiencing or at risk of experiencing chronic homelessness." - **later framing:** by the 2024 HTH Annual Report, 1,600 units is the ordinance's goal "through 2028" (per `verification.md`; not re-read). The Dec 14, 2022 release calls it simply "the initiative's target to open 1,600 units". **claimType:** promise ### Forecast record - **metric:** HTH units created or opened. 5c counts residents housed instead. Use units opened for "ready to serve". - **unit:** units; **target:** up to 1,600; **horizon:** 2022-12-31 (5b, 5d); 5c says October 2022 - **outcome at horizon:** "With this latest opening, King County has housed 565 people, purchased 1,011 units in 11 buildings across the region, and invested in the operations and services of two permanent supportive housing buildings in Seattle with more than 200 additional units." Salmonberry Lofts was "the fifth Health Through Housing building to open". Source: King County Executive release, Dec 14, 2022, https://kingcounty.gov/elected/executive/constantine/news/release/2022/December/14-HTH-Salmonberry-Lofts.aspx (read via http://web.archive.org/web/20221231202755/https://kingcounty.gov/elected/executive/constantine/news/release/2022/December/14-HTH-Salmonberry-Lofts.aspx). VERIFIED. Mid-point: June 21, 2022 release, Constantine: "971 units purchased to date and nearly 500 opened homes" (VERIFIED, same archive pattern, .../2022/June/21-Northgate-HTH-Opening.aspx). - **later:** end of 2024, 1,434 secured and 954 open (2024 HTH Annual Report, Motion 16910, per `promises-vs-outcomes.md` §10; not re-read). - **comparability:** "purchased" is not "open". The Dec 2022 total adds 200+ units in two city-funded buildings where the county funds only services. 5c's "house 1,600 residents" (565 housed) is a different metric from units. **Status: VERIFIED-VERBATIM** (5a-5d). --- ## 6. Mayor Katie Wilson: 1,000 shelter units in 2026 (500 by June) and the scale-back ### Statement 6a: 1,000 units this year (State of the City) - **Primary source:** Office of the Mayor, "Mayor Wilson's 2026 State of the City Address," Feb 17, 2026. - Original: https://wilson.seattle.gov/2026/02/17/mayor-wilsons-2026-state-of-the-city-address/ - Copy I read: http://web.archive.org/web/20260303070853/https://wilson.seattle.gov/2026/02/17/mayor-wilsons-2026-state-of-the-city-address/ - **quote:** "With well over four thousand people sleeping unsheltered in Seattle as of last year's Point in Time Count, I know we have a big hill to climb, and dramatic changes won't happen overnight. But I am determined to add 1,000 new units this year, with services matched to people's needs, and we are on our way to reach this goal." - **context:** The preceding paragraphs describe her January executive order accelerating shelter and the search for city land for "tiny houses or micro-modular shelters". She also says: "In the coming weeks, my administration will also introduce legislation to city council to fund shelter expansion". The same sentence appeared Feb 10, 2026 in her post "What we're doing to expand shelter..." as "I am determined to add 1,000 new units of shelter or emergency housing this year, and we are on our way to reach this goal." The speech mentions the June FIFA World Cup separately, but **does not link a 500-unit target to it**. - **speaker:** Katie B. Wilson; **speakerRole:** Mayor of Seattle; **date:** 2026-02-17; **venue:** State of the City speech; **claimType:** promise - **reinforced:** March 4, 2026 release ("Neighbor by Neighbor"), https://wilson.seattle.gov/2026/03/04/neighbor-by-neighbor-mayor-announces-legislation-to-rapidly-expand-shelter-and-calls-on-whole-city-to-be-part-of-the-solution/ (Wayback 20260304231554), Wilson: "That's why I have transmitted legislation to city council that will help us deliver on the goal of opening 1,000 new units of shelter with supportive services across the city this year." ### Statement 6b: 500 by June / the World Cup - **Not found in any primary source I could read.** I checked: the State of the City; posts of Feb 10, Mar 4, Apr 7, May 7 and May 19; the Jan 15 executive-order release; the inauguration speech; the Sept 14 action plan; and the Sept 22 budget release. - Secondary reports: - PubliCola, Mar 4, 2026: "1,000 new shelter beds by the end of her first year," with 500 before the World Cup. - KOMO (Jackie Kent): "500 new shelter spaces ahead of the international event". - A City Council central staff memo (Mar 24, 2026, per KOMO/Fox13): "it is not at all clear that passage of this legislation would result in 500 new units of shelter by June 1, 2026". This would be a primary government document, but it is not the speaker's words, and I did not read it. - Wilson's concession, per KUOW (June 4, 2026, CityClub event): "No, we're not going to make 500 [shelter beds] by FIFA." Per KOMO: "We're not going to get 500 by the World Cup, but we always knew that was an ambitious goal." - **Status: SECONDARY-ONLY.** Next step: Council Bill / Legistar fiscal note or the Seattle Channel video of the Mar 4 event or the CityClub talk. ### Statement 6c: scale-back (Sept 14, 2026) - **Primary source:** Office of the Mayor, "Mayor Wilson delivers action plan to bring people indoors and keep residents housed," Sept 14, 2026. - Original: https://wilson.seattle.gov/2026/09/14/mayor-wilson-delivers-action-plan-to-bring-people-indoors-and-keep-residents-house/ - Copy I read: http://web.archive.org/web/20260918075257/https://wilson.seattle.gov/2026/09/14/mayor-wilson-delivers-action-plan-to-bring-people-indoors-and-keep-residents-house/ - **quote (release, not a direct Wilson quote):** "Plan responds to one of Seattle's biggest challenges by delivering almost 1,000 beds by end of 2027" and "Building on steps taken earlier this year to speed up shelter expansion, the plan will increase capacity by nearly 1,000 shelter beds by the end of 2027, compared to the start of 2026. This means an estimated 1,750 people can be served every year." Also: "Taken together, the planned 960 beds are expected to serve about 1,750 people annually." - **context:** The release lists 2026 openings: "Bayside Enhanced Shelter, Brighton Village and Belmont Village". Opening "later this year" are "Cloverleaf Village, Glassyard Commons, a Purpose Dignity Action (PDA) operated shelter, and expansions at three existing shelters". It says "an additional eight shelters are planned to open in 2027" and dedicates "$37 million toward new shelter capacity". **It does not acknowledge the earlier 1,000-in-2026 goal.** The Sept 22, 2026 budget release repeats "$37 million to add nearly 1,000 new shelter beds by the end of 2027". Wilson's own quote there: "This budget doesn't promise quick fixes that paper over real problems." - **speaker:** Office of the Mayor (Katie B. Wilson administration); **date:** 2026-09-14; **venue:** press release; **claimType:** promise (revised) ### Forecast records | Metric | Unit | Target | Horizon | Outcome | Source | Note | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | New shelter / emergency housing units | units | 500 | 2026-06-01 (or World Cup, June 15) | Missed. The first site, Bayside (75 pallet units), opened around June. | KOMO / KUOW (secondary) | The target itself is SECONDARY-ONLY | | New shelter / emergency housing units | units | 1,000 | 2026-12-31 | In progress. KOMO (Sept 16, 2026) reports 187 emergency shelter beds added so far (secondary). The official plan is now 960 by end of 2027. | wilson.seattle.gov Sept 14 (VERIFIED); KOMO (secondary) | "Units" includes tiny houses and pallet shelters. The 2027 plan counts from "the start of 2026". | **Status:** 6a **VERIFIED-VERBATIM**; 6b **SECONDARY-ONLY**; 6c **VERIFIED-VERBATIM**. --- ## 7. Pathways Home (Seattle, Sept 2016): 500 unsheltered families indoors by end of 2017 ### Statement 7a: City fact sheet - **Primary source:** City of Seattle, "Pathways Home" fact sheet (undated, Sept 2016), https://www.seattle.gov/documents/departments/pathwayshome/factsheetpathways.pdf (fetched live). - **quote:** "While these system-level changes will take time and will require collaboration with existing service providers to accomplish, the City is committed to taking immediate action to accomplish the following goals by 2017: [...] Move 500 unsheltered families from homelessness indoors by the end of 2017." - **context:** The other 2017 goals listed are: - "Expand low-barrier, 24-hour shelter by opening the Navigation Center" - "Institute performance-based contracts to ensure government is investing in what works" - "Actively work to house people on the waiting list" - "Improve access to affordable and private market housing units by working with partners to institute a centralized list" The vision line is "Homelessness should be rare, brief and a one-time occurrence." Funding: "The Mayor's Proposed 2017-2018 budget includes $12 million in new funding to implement strategies laid out in this plan." - **speaker:** City of Seattle (Mayor Ed Murray's administration / Human Services Department); **date:** Sept 2016; **venue:** fact sheet; **claimType:** promise ### Statement 7b: HSD Director's op-ed (first person) - **Primary source:** Catherine Lester, "With changes, Seattle could shelter all of its homeless," Crosscut (opinion), Sept 13, 2016. - Original: https://crosscut.com/2016/09/mayor-ed-murray-human-services-pathways-home-reform - Copy I read: http://web.archive.org/web/20160914164211/http://crosscut.com/2016/09/mayor-ed-murray-human-services-pathways-home-reform/ - **quote:** "As an immediate step, Mayor Murray and I believe that we can respond to the 500 families with children currently known to be living outdoors, and move them indoors by the end of next year." - **context:** The paragraph before says national experts show "our region has the shelter capacity to shelter all people currently living outside. This will take time and refocused investment, as well as additional investment from our state and federal partners." The next sentence is "Seattle will continue doing all we can and will work with our partners at the county, state and federal level to address this crisis." The piece calls Pathways Home "last week's announcement". - **speaker:** Catherine Lester; **speakerRole:** Director, Seattle Human Services Department; **date:** 2016-09-13; **venue:** op-ed; **claimType:** promise / prediction ("we believe that we can") ### Forecast record - **metric:** unsheltered families moved indoors (shelter, transitional or permanent housing); **unit:** families; **target:** 500; **horizon:** 2017-12-31 - **outcome:** "Commitment in Year 1: Shelter 500 families [...] Results for Sheltering Families: 738 sheltered (October 1, 2016 – August 31, 2017). These families were unsheltered when they entered permanent housing, transitional housing, or emergency shelter. 20% have now exited the homeless response system to permanent housing." Source: HSD memo "One Year Update on Pathways Home," Sept 22, 2017, p.3 (PDF). Original URL https://seattle.gov/Documents/Departments/HumanServices/Reports/Final_PH_1_Year.pdf (dead); I read http://web.archive.org/web/20190308010758/http://www.seattle.gov/Documents/Departments/HumanServices/Reports/Final_PH_1_Year.pdf. VERIFIED. The same memo says: "When Pathways Home was released, over 500 families on the CEA waitlist were living unsheltered." - **comparability:** this is self-reported by the agency that made the promise. "Sheltered" includes emergency shelter, and only 20% reached permanent housing. The period ends Aug 2017, four months before the horizon. **Status: VERIFIED-VERBATIM** (7a, 7b, outcome). --- ## Not done (optional items) - Murray's Nov 2, 2015 civil emergency: the primary documents (SOE Implementation Plan, final report) are already quoted in `promises-vs-outcomes.md` §2. I did not add new statement records. - KCRHA founding (Dec 2019): the release text was still not retrieved. - Constantine's 2020 budget speech, where HTH was introduced: no archived copy found in the 2020 Wayback listing.