{
 "analyses": [
  {
   "id": "actual-vs-path",
   "title": "Actual emissions and the straight-line path to the 2030 limit",
   "question": "How do Washington's yearly greenhouse gas emissions compare with a straight-line path from the 2020 limit to the 2030 limit?",
   "operation": "Actual totals from the annual-emissions table; path = linear interpolation between the 2020 limit (Ecology's 1990 value, 93.09 MMT) and the 2030 limit (45% below, 51.20 MMT).",
   "parameters": {
    "pathStartYear": 2020,
    "pathStartMmt": 93.09,
    "pathEndYear": 2030,
    "pathEndMmt": 51.2
   },
   "scope": "Washington statewide gross emissions, 1990-2022 actual; path 2020-2030.",
   "resultShape": "timeSeries",
   "structuredResult": {
    "rows": [
     {
      "year": 1990,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 93.09
     },
     {
      "year": 1991,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 91.69
     },
     {
      "year": 1992,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 97.92
     },
     {
      "year": 1993,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 96.95
     },
     {
      "year": 1994,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 101.28
     },
     {
      "year": 1995,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 101.51
     },
     {
      "year": 1996,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 104.73
     },
     {
      "year": 1997,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 102.51
     },
     {
      "year": 1998,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 107.29
     },
     {
      "year": 1999,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 109.31
     },
     {
      "year": 2000,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 109.64
     },
     {
      "year": 2001,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 101.58
     },
     {
      "year": 2002,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 91.9
     },
     {
      "year": 2003,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 94.19
     },
     {
      "year": 2004,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 96.41
     },
     {
      "year": 2005,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 97.08
     },
     {
      "year": 2006,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 99.77
     },
     {
      "year": 2007,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 102.79
     },
     {
      "year": 2008,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 99.71
     },
     {
      "year": 2009,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 97.18
     },
     {
      "year": 2010,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 96.88
     },
     {
      "year": 2011,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 92.79
     },
     {
      "year": 2012,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 88.64
     },
     {
      "year": 2013,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 92.57
     },
     {
      "year": 2014,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 91.89
     },
     {
      "year": 2015,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 94.18
     },
     {
      "year": 2016,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 94.45
     },
     {
      "year": 2017,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 95.11
     },
     {
      "year": 2018,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 95.44
     },
     {
      "year": 2019,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 103.08
     },
     {
      "year": 2020,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 89.24
     },
     {
      "year": 2021,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 96.55
     },
     {
      "year": 2022,
      "series": "Actual emissions",
      "mmt": 96.09
     },
     {
      "year": 2020,
      "series": "Straight-line path to 2030 limit",
      "mmt": 93.09
     },
     {
      "year": 2021,
      "series": "Straight-line path to 2030 limit",
      "mmt": 88.9
     },
     {
      "year": 2022,
      "series": "Straight-line path to 2030 limit",
      "mmt": 84.71
     },
     {
      "year": 2023,
      "series": "Straight-line path to 2030 limit",
      "mmt": 80.52
     },
     {
      "year": 2024,
      "series": "Straight-line path to 2030 limit",
      "mmt": 76.33
     },
     {
      "year": 2025,
      "series": "Straight-line path to 2030 limit",
      "mmt": 72.14
     },
     {
      "year": 2026,
      "series": "Straight-line path to 2030 limit",
      "mmt": 67.95
     },
     {
      "year": 2027,
      "series": "Straight-line path to 2030 limit",
      "mmt": 63.76
     },
     {
      "year": 2028,
      "series": "Straight-line path to 2030 limit",
      "mmt": 59.57
     },
     {
      "year": 2029,
      "series": "Straight-line path to 2030 limit",
      "mmt": 55.39
     },
     {
      "year": 2030,
      "series": "Straight-line path to 2030 limit",
      "mmt": 51.2
     }
    ]
   },
   "displayResult": "Actual 2022: 96.1 MMT CO2e; path value for 2022: 84.7 MMT.",
   "methodologicalNotes": [
    "The statute sets only end points (2020, 2030, 2040, 2050); the straight line between them is one reasonable path, not a legal requirement. See gap-2022-alt-paths for other paths."
   ],
   "limitations": [
    "Inventory data end in 2022; 2023 and 2024 totals are not yet published.",
    "Ecology revises the whole series when methods change, so earlier inventories show different values."
   ],
   "executedAt": "2026-11-03T20:00:00Z"
  },
  {
   "id": "gap-2022",
   "title": "How far 2022 emissions sat above the straight-line path",
   "question": "By what percentage did 2022 emissions exceed a straight-line path from the 2020 limit to the 2030 limit?",
   "operation": "(actual 2022 / path value for 2022) - 1, path as in actual-vs-path.",
   "scope": "Washington statewide, 2022.",
   "resultShape": "table",
   "structuredResult": {
    "rows": [
     {
      "path": "Straight line from the 2020 limit (93.1) to the 2030 limit (51.2), Ecology's 1990 value",
      "startsFrom": "2020 limit",
      "path2022Mmt": 84.71,
      "actual2022Mmt": 96.09,
      "gapMmt": 11.38,
      "gapPercent": 13.4
     }
    ]
   },
   "displayResult": "2022 emissions (96.1 MMT) were 13.4% above the path value of 84.7 MMT.",
   "limitations": [
    "The size of the gap depends on the path chosen; see the robustness checks."
   ],
   "executedAt": "2026-11-03T20:00:00Z",
   "robustnessChecks": [
    {
     "analysisId": "gap-2022-alt-paths",
     "checkType": "sensitivity",
     "summary": "Every reasonable path puts 2022 above it: the gap ranges from 5% (straight line from actual 2021) to 16.6% (statute tonnages), and is 61.3% on a line from 1990 that ignores the 2020 limit."
    },
    {
     "analysisId": "required-cut",
     "checkType": "alternativeComparison",
     "summary": "Measured as the pace still needed instead of a gap, emissions must fall 7.57% a year compounded (5.84% of the 2022 level per year as equal steps) from 2023 through 2030."
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "gap-2022-alt-paths",
   "title": "Gap in 2022 under different paths to the 2030 limit",
   "question": "Does the finding that 2022 emissions were above the path depend on which path is used?",
   "operation": "Repeat gap-2022 for six path definitions.",
   "scope": "Washington statewide, 2022.",
   "resultShape": "table",
   "structuredResult": {
    "rows": [
     {
      "path": "Straight line from the 2020 limit (93.1) to the 2030 limit (51.2), Ecology's 1990 value",
      "startsFrom": "2020 limit",
      "path2022Mmt": 84.71,
      "actual2022Mmt": 96.09,
      "gapMmt": 11.38,
      "gapPercent": 13.4
     },
     {
      "path": "Straight line using the statute's fixed tonnages (90.5 in 2020 to 50.0 in 2030)",
      "startsFrom": "2020 limit (statute tons)",
      "path2022Mmt": 82.4,
      "actual2022Mmt": 96.09,
      "gapMmt": 13.69,
      "gapPercent": 16.6
     },
     {
      "path": "Same percentage cut every year from the 2020 limit to the 2030 limit",
      "startsFrom": "2020 limit",
      "path2022Mmt": 82.6,
      "actual2022Mmt": 96.09,
      "gapMmt": 13.49,
      "gapPercent": 16.3
     },
     {
      "path": "Straight line from actual 2019 emissions (last year before COVID) to the 2030 limit",
      "startsFrom": "2019 actual",
      "path2022Mmt": 88.93,
      "actual2022Mmt": 96.09,
      "gapMmt": 7.15,
      "gapPercent": 8
     },
     {
      "path": "Straight line from actual 2021 emissions to the 2030 limit",
      "startsFrom": "2021 actual",
      "path2022Mmt": 91.51,
      "actual2022Mmt": 96.09,
      "gapMmt": 4.57,
      "gapPercent": 5
     },
     {
      "path": "Straight line from 1990 to the 2030 limit (ignores the 2020 limit)",
      "startsFrom": "1990",
      "path2022Mmt": 59.57,
      "actual2022Mmt": 96.09,
      "gapMmt": 36.51,
      "gapPercent": 61.3
     }
    ]
   },
   "displayResult": "Gap ranges from 5% to 16.6% across paths that start in 2019-2021 or at the 2020 limit.",
   "limitations": [
    "A path from 1990 that ignores the 2020 limit is shown for completeness; the law set 2020 at the 1990 level, so it overstates the gap."
   ],
   "executedAt": "2026-11-03T20:00:00Z"
  },
  {
   "id": "required-cut",
   "title": "Yearly cut needed to reach the 2030 limit",
   "question": "How fast must emissions fall each year to reach the 2030 limit?",
   "operation": "Equal steps: (start - target) / years, also as a percent of the start level. Compounded: 1 - (target/start)^(1/years).",
   "scope": "Washington statewide; starting points 2022 (actual) and 2024 (estimated).",
   "resultShape": "table",
   "structuredResult": {
    "rows": [
     {
      "scenario": "From actual 2022 emissions, 2023 through 2030",
      "startYear": 2022,
      "startMmt": 96.09,
      "targetMmt": 51.2,
      "years": 8,
      "linearCutMmtPerYear": 5.61,
      "linearCutPercentOfStart": 5.84,
      "compoundCutPercentPerYear": 7.57
     },
     {
      "scenario": "From actual 2022 emissions to the statute's 50.0 MMT figure",
      "startYear": 2022,
      "startMmt": 96.09,
      "targetMmt": 50,
      "years": 8,
      "linearCutMmtPerYear": 5.76,
      "linearCutPercentOfStart": 6,
      "compoundCutPercentPerYear": 7.84
     },
     {
      "scenario": "From an estimated 2024 level (2022 inventory scaled by the large-emitter change), 2025 through 2030",
      "startYear": 2024,
      "startMmt": 93.9,
      "targetMmt": 51.2,
      "years": 6,
      "linearCutMmtPerYear": 7.12,
      "linearCutPercentOfStart": 7.58,
      "compoundCutPercentPerYear": 9.61
     },
     {
      "scenario": "From a 2024 level 3% below 2022 (the \"less than three percent\" case), 2025 through 2030",
      "startYear": 2024,
      "startMmt": 93.2,
      "targetMmt": 51.2,
      "years": 6,
      "linearCutMmtPerYear": 7,
      "linearCutPercentOfStart": 7.51,
      "compoundCutPercentPerYear": 9.5
     }
    ]
   },
   "displayResult": "From 2022: 5.61 MMT a year (5.84% of 2022), or 7.57% a year compounded. From an estimated 2024 level: 7.58% equal steps, 9.61% compounded.",
   "methodologicalNotes": [
    "The 2024 level is an estimate: 2022 inventory total times the ratio of 2024 to 2022 large-emitter reported emissions (data.wa.gov idhm-59de). The large-emitter data cover most but not all emissions."
   ],
   "limitations": [
    "Equal-step and compounded paces answer different questions; both are shown.",
    "The 2024 starting point is estimated, not an inventory value."
   ],
   "executedAt": "2026-11-03T20:00:00Z"
  },
  {
   "id": "historical-pace",
   "title": "Washington's fastest past emission cuts",
   "question": "Has Washington ever cut emissions as fast as the 2030 limit now requires?",
   "operation": "Largest one-year percentage drops 1991-2022; fastest compounded eight-year average over any window 1990-2022; average 2000-2022.",
   "scope": "Washington statewide, 1990-2022.",
   "resultShape": "table",
   "structuredResult": {
    "rows": [
     {
      "measure": "One-year change, 2019 to 2020",
      "percentPerYear": -13.4,
      "mmt": -13.85
     },
     {
      "measure": "One-year change, 2001 to 2002",
      "percentPerYear": -9.5,
      "mmt": -9.68
     },
     {
      "measure": "One-year change, 2000 to 2001",
      "percentPerYear": -7.4,
      "mmt": -8.06
     },
     {
      "measure": "One-year change, 2011 to 2012",
      "percentPerYear": -4.5,
      "mmt": -4.16
     },
     {
      "measure": "One-year change, 2010 to 2011",
      "percentPerYear": -4.2,
      "mmt": -4.08
     },
     {
      "measure": "Fastest eight-year average cut, 1994 to 2002",
      "percentPerYear": -1.21,
      "mmt": -9.38
     },
     {
      "measure": "Average yearly change from the 2000 peak to 2022",
      "percentPerYear": -0.6,
      "mmt": -13.55
     }
    ]
   },
   "displayResult": "Largest one-year drop: -13.4% in 2020 (COVID). Fastest eight-year average: 1.21% a year (1994-2002).",
   "limitations": [
    "Past pace does not cap future pace: new policies such as the coal phase-out and the cap-and-invest program could change it.",
    "The causes of the 2001-2002 drops are not analyzed here."
   ],
   "executedAt": "2026-11-03T20:00:00Z"
  },
  {
   "id": "sector-change-2021-2022",
   "title": "Change in emissions by sector, 2021 to 2022",
   "question": "Which sectors drove the 0.5% drop in 2022?",
   "operation": "2022 minus 2021 by sector, unrounded inventory values.",
   "scope": "Washington statewide, 2021-2022.",
   "resultShape": "table",
   "structuredResult": {
    "rows": [
     {
      "sector": "Transportation",
      "mmt2021": 38.09,
      "mmt2022": 38.611,
      "changeMmt": 0.521,
      "changePercent": 1.4
     },
     {
      "sector": "Buildings (on-site fuel)",
      "mmt2021": 22.542,
      "mmt2022": 22.984,
      "changeMmt": 0.441,
      "changePercent": 2
     },
     {
      "sector": "Electricity",
      "mmt2021": 18.711,
      "mmt2022": 17.379,
      "changeMmt": -1.332,
      "changePercent": -7.1
     },
     {
      "sector": "Agriculture",
      "mmt2021": 8.51,
      "mmt2022": 8.318,
      "changeMmt": -0.192,
      "changePercent": -2.3
     },
     {
      "sector": "Industrial processes",
      "mmt2021": 4.126,
      "mmt2022": 4.173,
      "changeMmt": 0.047,
      "changePercent": 1.1
     },
     {
      "sector": "Waste",
      "mmt2021": 3.17,
      "mmt2022": 3.212,
      "changeMmt": 0.042,
      "changePercent": 1.3
     },
     {
      "sector": "Gas and oil leaks (fugitive)",
      "mmt2021": 1.407,
      "mmt2022": 1.411,
      "changeMmt": 0.004,
      "changePercent": 0.3
     },
     {
      "sector": "Total",
      "mmt2021": 96.555,
      "mmt2022": 96.087,
      "changeMmt": -0.468,
      "changePercent": -0.48
     }
    ]
   },
   "displayResult": "Electricity fell 1.33 MMT and agriculture 0.19 MMT; the other five sectors rose a combined 1.06 MMT; the total fell 0.47 MMT.",
   "limitations": [
    "Sector values are Ecology estimates, mostly downscaled from national data by EPA's State Inventory Tool."
   ],
   "executedAt": "2026-11-03T20:00:00Z"
  },
  {
   "id": "fuel-mix-change-2021-2022",
   "title": "Change in electricity sources serving Washington customers, 2021 to 2022",
   "question": "Which power sources grew or shrank in 2022 for electricity sold to Washington customers?",
   "operation": "2022 minus 2021 megawatt-hours by fuel, Commerce aggregate fuel mix (Table 2 of the CY2022 report), in millions of MWh.",
   "scope": "Electricity sold by Washington utilities, including purchases from out of state.",
   "resultShape": "table",
   "structuredResult": {
    "rows": [
     {
      "source": "Hydropower",
      "mwh2021": 47491276,
      "mwh2022": 49583521,
      "changeMillionMwh": 2.09
     },
     {
      "source": "Wind",
      "mwh2021": 5425544,
      "mwh2022": 7451109,
      "changeMillionMwh": 2.03
     },
     {
      "source": "Solar",
      "mwh2021": 507748,
      "mwh2022": 767131,
      "changeMillionMwh": 0.26
     },
     {
      "source": "Natural gas",
      "mwh2021": 11676676,
      "mwh2022": 9574626,
      "changeMillionMwh": -2.1
     },
     {
      "source": "Coal",
      "mwh2021": 8289597,
      "mwh2022": 7921025,
      "changeMillionMwh": -0.37
     },
     {
      "source": "Unspecified market power",
      "mwh2021": 11816252,
      "mwh2022": 11885124,
      "changeMillionMwh": 0.07
     },
     {
      "source": "Nuclear",
      "mwh2021": 3921061,
      "mwh2022": 3920657,
      "changeMillionMwh": 0
     },
     {
      "source": "Total load served",
      "mwh2021": 89953552,
      "mwh2022": 92098707,
      "changeMillionMwh": 2.15
     }
    ]
   },
   "displayResult": "Hydropower +2.09 million MWh, wind +2.03, solar +0.26; natural gas -2.10, coal -0.37; total load +2.15.",
   "limitations": [
    "This is power bought by Washington utilities, wherever it was generated; it is the basis of the inventory's electricity sector.",
    "Changes in sources are not a causal split of the emissions change; many sources changed at once."
   ],
   "executedAt": "2026-11-03T20:00:00Z"
  },
  {
   "id": "electricity-emissions-by-fuel-change",
   "title": "Change in electricity emissions by fuel, 2021 to 2022",
   "question": "Which fuels' emissions fell in the electricity sector in 2022?",
   "operation": "2022 minus 2021, inventory electricity-consumption rows.",
   "scope": "Washington electricity consumption emissions.",
   "resultShape": "table",
   "structuredResult": {
    "rows": [
     {
      "fuel": "Coal",
      "mmt2021": 8.755,
      "mmt2022": 8.28,
      "changeMmt": -0.475
     },
     {
      "fuel": "Natural gas",
      "mmt2021": 4.708,
      "mmt2022": 3.837,
      "changeMmt": -0.871
     },
     {
      "fuel": "Unspecified market power",
      "mmt2021": 5.164,
      "mmt2022": 5.193,
      "changeMmt": 0.029
     },
     {
      "fuel": "Other",
      "mmt2021": 0.084,
      "mmt2022": 0.068,
      "changeMmt": -0.015
     },
     {
      "fuel": "Electricity total",
      "mmt2021": 18.711,
      "mmt2022": 17.379,
      "changeMmt": -1.332
     }
    ]
   },
   "displayResult": "Natural gas -0.87 MMT, coal -0.48 MMT, unspecified +0.03 MMT; electricity total -1.33 MMT.",
   "limitations": [
    "Unspecified market power is assigned a default emission rate, not a measured one."
   ],
   "executedAt": "2026-11-03T20:00:00Z"
  },
  {
   "id": "eia-instate-change-2021-2022",
   "title": "Change in power generated inside Washington, 2021 to 2022",
   "question": "Do federal in-state generation data show the same pattern as the utility fuel mix?",
   "operation": "2022 minus 2021 net generation, all sectors, EIA electric power operational data, Washington.",
   "scope": "Power plants located in Washington, wherever the power was sold.",
   "resultShape": "table",
   "structuredResult": {
    "rows": [
     {
      "source": "Hydropower",
      "thousandMwh2021": 71379.357,
      "thousandMwh2022": 78916.43514,
      "changeMillionMwh": 7.54
     },
     {
      "source": "Wind",
      "thousandMwh2021": 9297.756,
      "thousandMwh2022": 8060.912,
      "changeMillionMwh": -1.24
     },
     {
      "source": "Solar",
      "thousandMwh2021": 50.208,
      "thousandMwh2022": 83.298,
      "changeMillionMwh": 0.03
     },
     {
      "source": "Coal",
      "thousandMwh2021": 3132.52061,
      "thousandMwh2022": 3565.97183,
      "changeMillionMwh": 0.43
     },
     {
      "source": "Natural gas",
      "thousandMwh2021": 16589.25237,
      "thousandMwh2022": 14532.32189,
      "changeMillionMwh": -2.06
     },
     {
      "source": "All fuels",
      "thousandMwh2021": 110808.40065,
      "thousandMwh2022": 116690.50018,
      "changeMillionMwh": 5.88
     }
    ]
   },
   "displayResult": "In-state hydropower +7.54 million MWh; in-state wind -1.24 million MWh.",
   "limitations": [
    "In-state generation includes power exported to other states and excludes imports, so it differs from what Washington customers bought."
   ],
   "executedAt": "2026-11-03T20:00:00Z"
  },
  {
   "id": "large-emitter-2022-2024",
   "title": "Large-emitter reported emissions, 2022 to 2024",
   "question": "What do Ecology's early-indicator data show for 2023 and 2024?",
   "operation": "Sum of reported_emissions_mtco2e by year from data.wa.gov dataset idhm-59de (queried 2026-11-03), in MMT.",
   "scope": "Facilities, fuel suppliers, natural gas suppliers and electric power entities reporting 10,000 tonnes or more; full scope from 2022.",
   "resultShape": "table",
   "structuredResult": {
    "rows": [
     {
      "year": 2022,
      "reportedMmt": 92.49,
      "coveredMmt": null,
      "changeFrom2022Percent": 0
     },
     {
      "year": 2023,
      "reportedMmt": 90.79,
      "coveredMmt": 64.01,
      "changeFrom2022Percent": -1.84
     },
     {
      "year": 2024,
      "reportedMmt": 90.38,
      "coveredMmt": 59.84,
      "changeFrom2022Percent": -2.28
     }
    ]
   },
   "displayResult": "Reported emissions fell 2.28% from 2022 to 2024 (92.49 to 90.38 MMT); covered emissions fell from 64.01 to 59.84 MMT from 2023 to 2024.",
   "limitations": [
    "Reported totals are not the inventory total; they use different methods and coverage.",
    "Before 2022 fuel suppliers and electric power entities did not report, so earlier years are not comparable."
   ],
   "executedAt": "2026-11-03T20:00:00Z"
  }
 ],
 "statements": [
  {
   "id": "wpc-gap-134",
   "speaker": "Todd Myers",
   "speakerRole": "Vice President for Research, Washington Policy Center",
   "date": "2026-04-27",
   "venue": "Washington Policy Center blog post",
   "quote": "Washington’s emissions are 13.4 percent higher than they should have been to meet the 2030 target.",
   "context": "Myers said that by 2022 emissions should have been about 85 MMT CO2e instead of the 96.1 MMT Ecology reported. The next sentence says Ecology staff are trying to whitewash that the state is badly off track.",
   "claimType": "assertion",
   "sourceId": "wpc-myers-2026"
  },
  {
   "id": "wpc-74-percent",
   "speaker": "Todd Myers",
   "speakerRole": "Vice President for Research, Washington Policy Center",
   "date": "2026-04-27",
   "venue": "Washington Policy Center blog post",
   "quote": "If those data hold, Washington state’s emissions would have to fall by 7.4 percent per year from 2025 to 2030, or more than one COVID-scale reduction every two years.",
   "context": "The preceding sentence says Ecology's partial data for 2023 and 2024 indicate emissions fell less than three percent between 2022 and 2024. Earlier, Myers said that from 2022 numbers emissions would have to fall nearly 6 percent per year from 2023 to 2030.",
   "claimType": "assertion",
   "sourceId": "wpc-myers-2026"
  },
  {
   "id": "wpc-entirely-electricity",
   "speaker": "Todd Myers",
   "speakerRole": "Vice President for Research, Washington Policy Center",
   "date": "2026-04-27",
   "venue": "Washington Policy Center blog post",
   "quote": "This reduction if about one-half of a percent is due entirely to a reduction from electricity-related emissions.",
   "context": "The sentence follows Myers's statement that total emissions fell from 96.6 to 96.1 MMT CO2e between 2021 and 2022. The word \"if\" appears in the original, apparently for \"of\".",
   "claimType": "assertion",
   "sourceId": "wpc-myers-2026"
  },
  {
   "id": "wpc-every-sector-hydro",
   "speaker": "Todd Myers",
   "speakerRole": "Vice President for Research, Washington Policy Center",
   "date": "2026-04-27",
   "venue": "Washington Policy Center blog post",
   "quote": "Every sector saw GHGs increase except electricity and that was thanks primarily to an increase in hydropower due to high snowpack.",
   "context": "This is one of the summary points at the top of the post. Later the post says hydro output rose 2.1 million MWh and wind just over 2 million MWh, and that without the hydro increase statewide emissions would likely have risen.",
   "claimType": "assertion",
   "sourceId": "wpc-myers-2026"
  },
  {
   "id": "wpc-due-date",
   "speaker": "Todd Myers",
   "speakerRole": "Vice President for Research, Washington Policy Center",
   "date": "2026-04-27",
   "venue": "Washington Policy Center blog post",
   "quote": "We believe that is false (the actual due date was the end of 2024)",
   "context": "Myers was responding to the report's statement that it was released \"ahead of schedule,\" well ahead of the December 2026 due date of the next biennial report. He added that Ecology took three and a half years from the end of 2022 to release the data.",
   "claimType": "assertion",
   "sourceId": "wpc-myers-2026"
  },
  {
   "id": "ecology-ahead-of-schedule",
   "speaker": "Washington Department of Ecology",
   "speakerRole": "State agency that prepares the greenhouse gas inventory",
   "date": "2026-04-24",
   "venue": "Washington Greenhouse Gas Inventory: 1990-2022, publication 26-14-030, Executive Summary",
   "quote": "we are releasing this update, based on the most recent available data, well ahead of the due date of the next biennial report in December 2026.",
   "context": "The preceding sentence says Ecology developed the capacity to produce this interim report ahead of schedule. The report's overview adds that the report is not required by statute and that a 2025 revision changed the reporting language to reflect data availability.",
   "claimType": "assertion",
   "sourceId": "ecology-inventory-2022"
  },
  {
   "id": "ecology-drop-attribution",
   "speaker": "Washington Department of Ecology",
   "speakerRole": "State agency that prepares the greenhouse gas inventory",
   "date": "2026-04-24",
   "venue": "Ecology news release, \"New report: Clean energy is powering reductions in Washington's carbon emissions\"",
   "quote": "The 2021-2022 decline is largely attributable to increases in wind and solar power, combined with a strong year for hydropower, and a drop in highly polluting coal power.",
   "context": "The release headline says clean energy is powering reductions in Washington's carbon emissions. The release reports that emissions fell 0.5% from 96.6 to 96.1 million metric tons.",
   "claimType": "assertion",
   "sourceId": "ecology-release-2026-04-24"
  }
 ]
}