Saved analyses
911 calls for illegal burns, rubbish fires and encampment fires, January to October, by year
Question: How many incidents did the Seattle Fire Department dispatch as illegal burns, rubbish fires and encampment fires from January to October of each year?
Result: 2026: 3,809 (illegal burn 2,394, rubbish fire 1,377, encampment fire 38), the most for January to October since the log began. Earlier highs: 3,708 in 2025 and 3,605 in 2022 and 2024.
Operation: Count of incidents by year and dispatch type, January 1 to October 31
Scope: Seattle, citywide, 2004 to 2026
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- A dispatch call type is what crews were sent for, not the cause found on scene.
- Illegal burns include cooking, warming and backyard fires, not only fires at encampments.
- The dispatch log can be revised; counted on November 9, 2026.
Total 911 calls for the three types, January to October
Question: How many illegal burn, rubbish fire and encampment fire incidents were dispatched from January to October of each year, in total?
Result: 2026: 3,809, the highest of any year since 2004; 2.7% above 2025 and 5.7% above 2022. 2015 to 2018 averaged 596, so 2026 is about 6.4 times that.
Operation: Sum of the three call types by year, January 1 to October 31
Scope: Seattle, citywide, 2004 to 2026
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- A count of dispatched incidents, not confirmed fires.
- The margin over 2025 is small (about 3%).
Total 911 calls for the three types, full years
Question: How many of these incidents were dispatched in each full year from 2004 to 2025?
Result: Full-year totals peaked at 4,610 in 2024; 2025 had 4,594 and 2022 had 4,455.
Operation: Sum of the three call types by calendar year
Scope: Seattle, citywide, 2004 to 2025
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- 2026 is not complete, so it has no full-year total.
911 calls for the three types in two central areas, January to October
Question: Where in central Seattle did the calls rise?
Result: Chinatown-International District and Little Saigon: 665 in 2026, up 58% from 422 in 2025 and the most for the area; 35 in 2015. Downtown: 528 in 2026, down from 604 in 2024.
Operation: Count of the three call types by year inside two latitude and longitude boxes, January 1 to October 31
Scope: Downtown, and the Chinatown-International District and Little Saigon, 2015 to 2026
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- The boxes are our approximations of the neighborhoods, not official boundaries, and overlap slightly.
- Incidents with no location (under 1% a year) are left out.
City counts of fires verified at tent and RV encampments
Question: How many fires at tent and RV encampments did the city report each year?
Result: 1,617 in 2022, 1,351 in 2023, 892 in 2024 and 830 in 2025, about half the 2022 count. 377 from January to June 2026, 5% below the 396 of January to June 2025.
Operation: Figures as published by the city; the January to June 2025 total is the sum of the published first and second quarters (215 + 181)
Scope: Seattle, 2022 to June 2026
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- The city's count is a later judgment by the fire department of which fires were at a tent or RV encampment; its method is not published.
- A Seattle Fire Department figure for 2022 reported in the news (1,538) differs from the city's 1,617.
- The 2022 and 2023 counts come from the mayor's office and the later ones from the Human Services Department; the 2025 report repeats the 2022 and 2023 figures.
911 calls for trash and open fires compared with fires verified at encampments, 2022 to 2025
Question: Did 911 calls for trash and open fires fall along with the fires the fire department verified at tents and RVs?
Result: Calls stayed between 4,405 and 4,610 a year from 2022 to 2025, while verified fires at tents and RVs fell from 1,617 to 830. Verified encampment fires equaled 36% of the calls in 2022 and 18% in 2025.
Operation: Full-year totals of the three call types (calls-full-year-total) set beside the city's full-year counts of verified encampment fires (city-encampment-fire-tally)
Scope: Seattle, citywide, 2022 to 2025
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- The two counts use different rules: one is what callers reported, the other what the fire department verified at a tent or RV. They are compared, not matched call by call.
- A fire at a tent can be dispatched under any of the three call types, or under others.
911 calls for trash and open fires per 1,000 Seattle residents, January to October
Question: Is 2026 also a record once population growth is counted?
Result: Per 1,000 residents: 4.73 in 2022, 4.47 in 2023, 4.52 in 2024, 4.54 in 2025 and 4.63 in 2026. Per resident, 2022 is the highest; 2026 is second.
Operation: January to October calls for the three types (calls-janoct-total) divided by the state April 1 population estimate for the same year, times 1,000, rounded to two decimals
Scope: Seattle, citywide, 2020 to 2026
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- Population is an April 1 estimate, not the average over January to October.
- The 2026 estimate is new and may be revised.
Illegal burn calls at addresses that had encampment fire calls in 2022 and 2023
Question: Did illegal burn calls rise at the same places that used to get encampment fire calls, as a simple relabeling would suggest?
Result: Illegal burn calls at the 1,215 addresses that had encampment fire calls in 2022 and 2023: 303 of 1,426 (21%) in 2022 and 373 of 2,394 (16%) in 2026. Of the 968 more illegal burn calls in 2026 than in 2022, 70 were at those addresses; the rest were elsewhere.
Operation: Listed every dispatch address with at least one Encampment Fire call from January 2022 to December 2023 (1,215 addresses, 1,789 calls). For each year, counted January to October Illegal Burn calls at those addresses and divided by all Illegal Burn calls that year.
Scope: Seattle, citywide, January to October of 2019, 2022, 2024, 2025 and 2026
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- Dispatch addresses are often a block or an intersection, so the same camp can appear under nearby addresses.
- This tests one kind of relabeling: the same places getting a different call type. It cannot rule out that dispatchers now label similar fires in new places as illegal burns.
January to October calls counted once per address per day
Question: Does 2026 stay a record if repeat dispatches to the same place on the same day are counted once?
Result: Counting each address once a day: 3,551 in 2022, 3,548 in 2024, 3,637 in 2025 and 3,731 in 2026. 2026 stays the highest.
Operation: Counted distinct pairs of dispatch address and calendar day with at least one Illegal Burn, Rubbish Fire or Encampment Fire call, January 1 to October 31
Scope: Seattle, citywide, 2022, 2024, 2025 and 2026
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- Two separate fires at one address on one day count once; one fire reported under two nearby addresses counts twice.
- The log does not mark cancelled dispatches, so they cannot be removed.
January to October calls including dumpster fires
Question: Does 2026 stay a record if dumpster fire calls are counted as trash fires too?
Result: With dumpster fires added, January to October calls were 3,871 in 2022, 3,911 in 2024, 4,035 in 2025 and 4,135 in 2026. 2026 stays the highest.
Operation: January to October Dumpster Fire calls counted by year from the dispatch log and added to the three-type totals (calls-janoct-total)
Scope: Seattle, citywide, 2015 to 2026
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- Dumpster fires are a separate call type; a dumpster fire can also be dispatched as a rubbish fire.