FactHub saved analysis

Unchecked quotes by side favored

When the paper printed a source's claim that the record contradicts without checking it, which side did the claim favor?

Coverage: January 2025 to October 30, 2026 (story publication dates)

Node: dataset:seattle-times-i638-departures:1:analysis:unchecked-by-side

Contained in Seattle Times I-638 coverage: departures from the record, coded by side.

What this dataset measures

The Seattle Times is Washington's largest daily newspaper and ran more staff news stories on I-638 than any other Washington outlet. This release records each item a two-coder review and a red-team pass flagged as departing from the measure's text, official statistics, peer-reviewed research or the paper's own later reporting, so readers can check every item and every count.

Saved analyses

Unchecked quotes by side favored

Question: When the paper printed a source's claim that the record contradicts without checking it, which side did the claim favor?

Result: 4 favored Yes and 3 favored No: roughly even. The Yes side's 'birth records / medical history suffice' claim was left unchecked 4 times.

Operation: Count rows with category unchecked, grouped by favors.

Scope: 7 rows (B16, B21, B22, B23, B24, B34, B37).

View this analysis

  • Counts only unchecked claims the record contradicts in a story about that claim; many other quotes from both sides went unchecked without being wrong.

Robustness check for: Departures in the paper's own voice, by side favored

Sources

  1. The Seattle Times Primary record: the news stories whose wording is coded. Each row's url names its story.

    Retrieved October 30, 2026. All rights reserved (The Seattle Times). Short quotations only, for criticism and review; full story text is not redistributed.

    Reliability: News report. Washington's largest daily newspaper and the subject of this review. Its own published wording is the record being coded.

  2. Washington Secretary of State Reference record: the measure's filed text, used to check statements about what I-638 requires and whom it covers (Sections 1 and 3).

    Retrieved October 30, 2026. Public record. Public government record; linked, not hosted.

    Reliability: Government. Official filed text of Initiative Measure IL26-638 as published by the Secretary of State; the measure itself was written by its sponsors.

  3. American Academy of Pediatrics Reference record: what AAP well-visit guidelines list for girls aged 11-17, used to check statements about well visits.

    Retrieved October 30, 2026. Copyright American Academy of Pediatrics. Linked, not hosted.

    Reliability: Academic. The AAP's national guideline for preventive pediatric care (4th edition, 2017). The AAP opposes measures like I-638, but the guideline predates it and does not address sports.

  4. Data Resource Center for Child and Adolescent Health (NSCH) Reference record: Washington children without a personal doctor or nurse, 2023-24, used to check the paper's 18% figure.

    Retrieved October 30, 2026. Public data. Linked, not hosted.

    Reliability: Government. National Survey of Children's Health, funded by HRSA and fielded by the Census Bureau; query tool run by the Child and Adolescent Health Measurement Initiative.

  5. Hilton & Lundberg, Sports Medicine Reference record: review of strength and lean mass after testosterone suppression, used to check statements about the research. Free copy

    Retrieved October 30, 2026. CC BY 4.0. Linked, not hosted.

    Reliability: Peer-reviewed study. Peer-reviewed narrative review (Sports Med 2021;51:199-214). The authors have argued publicly for protecting the female category.

  6. Harper et al., British Journal of Sports Medicine Reference record: systematic review of strength, lean mass and muscle area after hormone therapy.

    Retrieved October 30, 2026. CC BY-NC 4.0. Linked, not hosted.

    Reliability: Peer-reviewed study. Systematic review of 24 studies (Br J Sports Med 2021;55:865-872). Lead author Joanna Harper supports transgender inclusion and is quoted by the Times.

Limitations and reproducibility

Partially reproducible: Every coded item gives the story URL, the coded wording and what the record shows, so anyone can re-check each item and recount the tables. The coding judgments themselves (especially framing) cannot be recomputed mechanically. Pre-correction wording for three corrected items comes from Internet Archive captures or the paper's correction notes.

  • Framing calls are judgments. Two independent coders and a red-team review reduce, but do not remove, the chance that another reader would code an item differently. Inter-coder agreement was not computed formally.
  • Scope: 44 Seattle Times staff, partner and freelance news stories on I-638 or Washington trans athletes, January 2025 to October 30, 2026. Opinion pieces, letters and wire copy are excluded, so the 12-to-2 opinion-page balance against the measure is not counted here.
  • Only items that depart from the record are listed. Accurate statements are not tallied, so the table measures the direction of errors and slanted framing, not their rate per sentence.
  • Quotes the paper printed without checking are tallied separately as 'unchecked', because they are not the paper's own words. They split roughly evenly: 4 favored Yes and 3 favored No.
  • Some pre-correction wording (for example the October 14, 2026 Camas story) comes from an Internet Archive capture and the paper's correction note, not from the current page.
  • One story URL contains the name of a minor athlete; for that row (B7) the url field gives the section page instead.
  • The Seattle Times was not asked to comment before publication.

Publications using this dataset

Version details

The exact citing versions, and the version of this dataset each cites.

  • Article seattle-times-i638-coverage-departures — version 2 (published) cites version 1
  • Article seattle-times-i638-coverage-departures — version 1 (published) cites version 1
  • Chart seattle-times-i638-departures-by-side — version 1 (published) cites version 1