WA Cares program rules used in the model

What this dataset measures

Built to test the claim that many Washington workers will pay more into WA Cares than its maximum benefit is worth. The premium rate, wage base and benefit cap come from the statute (RCW 50B.04); the wage growth, benefit indexing and investment return assumptions come from the actuarial valuation the state relies on, so the comparison uses the program's own numbers.

Geography

Washington, United States

Unit of observation

A hypothetical worker at a given career-average wage (table career-premiums-by-wage); an assumption scenario (break-even-scenarios); a point of the wage distribution (wa-wage-distribution-outcomes); a program rule (program-parameters).

Update cadence

Revise when the premium rate, benefit amount or actuarial assumptions change.

Curator

FactHub Research Team

Curated data tables

WA Cares program rules used in the model

The premium, benefit, vesting, portability and exemption rules, each with its statute citation.

Unit of observation: Program rule

program-parameters.csv text/csv · 1.9 KB (1,904 bytes)

All 11 rows 5 columns Download the file

All 11 rows

parameter_id	parameter	value	legal_citation	source_id
premium-rate	Premium rate	0.58% of wages; from 2026 the Pension Funding Council may set a lower rate but not a higher one	RCW 50B.04.080(1)	rcw-50b04
wage-cap	Wage cap	None: all wages are subject to the premium	RCW 50B.04.010(16)	rcw-50b04
collection-start	Premium collection began	2023-07-01, after the 2022 Legislature delayed it from 2022-01-01	RCW 50B.04.080(1); SHB 1732 (2022)	shb-1732
benefit-unit	Benefit unit	Up to $100 of approved services on a given day, adjusted each January 1 by the Seattle-area CPI-W	RCW 50B.04.010(3)	rcw-50b04
lifetime-max	Lifetime maximum	365 benefit units ($36,500 as of July 2026); units can be combined, so there is no daily limit	RCW 50B.04.060(3)(b)	rcw-50b04
vesting	Full vesting	10 years of premiums, or 3 of the last 6 years, with at least 500 hours worked in each of those years	RCW 50B.04.050(1),(3)	rcw-50b04
near-retiree	Near-retirees (born before 1968)	10% of the maximum benefit for each year of premiums	RCW 50B.04.050(2)	rcw-50b04
benefits-start	Benefits payable	In Washington from 2026-07-01; for out-of-state participants from 2030-07-01	RCW 50B.04.060(1),(2)	rcw-50b04
portability	Moving out of state	From 2026-07-01, a person with 3 years of premiums can elect, within a year of moving, to keep paying premiums on all wages and stay covered	RCW 50B.04.180	rcw-50b04
private-exemption	Private-insurance exemption	Open 2021-10-01 to 2022-12-31 to holders of long-term care insurance bought before 2021-11-01; 480,366 approved; may be rescinded before 2028-07-01	RCW 50B.04.085	esd-exemptions
other-exemptions	Other voluntary exemptions (from 2023)	Veterans with a 70% or greater service-connected disability, military spouses and partners, active-duty members with civilian jobs, employees living outside Washington, temporary-visa holders	RCW 50B.04.053, 50B.04.055	rcw-50b04

5 field definitions

Field	Type	Meaning	Units	Value type
parameter_id	string	Identifier.	—	observed
parameter	string	Rule.	—	observed
value	string	What the rule says, summarized.	—	observed
legal_citation	string	Statute or bill.	—	observed
source_id	string	The dataset source for the rule.	—	observed

Supporting files

Source snapshots, manifests, quality reports, documentation, and other materials used to produce or review this release.

• results.json Derived table · application/json · 28 KB (28,648 bytes)

  Every table and the chart rows as JSON, with the assumptions used; the saved analyses read from this file.

• build.js Transformation manifest · text/javascript · 8.6 KB (8,835 bytes)

  Node.js script that computes every table and result from the stated constants.

Sources

1. Washington State Legislature Premium rate and wage base (RCW 50B.04.080, 50B.04.010), benefit unit and lifetime limit (50B.04.010, 50B.04.060), vesting (50B.04.050), portability (50B.04.180) and exemptions (50B.04.053, .055, .085).

   Retrieved October 19, 2026. Public record (Revised Code of Washington). Statute text is public; linked, not hosted.

   Reliability: Government. The current codified statute governing WA Cares, including 2024 and 2025 amendments. The Legislature that created the program maintains it.

2. Milliman, for the Washington Office of the State Actuary Economic assumptions: ultimate wage growth 3.55% and benefit indexing 2.4%; program features modeled; required premium 0.48% to 0.65%.

   Retrieved October 19, 2026. Public record (Washington state report). Linked, not hosted.

   Reliability: Government. Has a stake in this finding. Actuarial valuation commissioned by the Office of the State Actuary, which is responsible for the fund's solvency analysis. Milliman is a private actuarial firm under contract; the report states its assumptions and sensitivities.

3. Washington Office of the State Actuary Net investment earned rate (4.4% grading to 4.0%), base-scenario actuarial balance, premium recommendation, and the 2025 law fixing benefit indexing to inflation.

   Retrieved October 19, 2026. Public record (Washington state report). Linked, not hosted.

   Reliability: Government. Has a stake in this finding. The state actuary's June 2025 summary of the Milliman valuation and its recommendations to the Pension Funding Council. The office advises on keeping the program solvent.

4. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Washington all-occupation annual wages, May 2025: 10th percentile $38,670; 25th $47,020; median $62,990; mean $83,330; 75th $101,710; 90th $153,630; employment 3,550,970 (series OEUS5300000000000000000{01,04,11,12,13,14,15}).

   Retrieved October 19, 2026. Public domain (U.S. government work). Free to redistribute with attribution to BLS.

   Reliability: Government. Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, a federal survey of employers. Wages are straight-time gross pay and exclude overtime and nonproduction bonuses.

5. Washington State Employment Security Department Count of approved private-insurance exemptions (480,366 as of Dec. 29, 2022).

   Retrieved October 19, 2026. Public record. Linked, not hosted.

   Reliability: Government. ESD administers WA Cares premium collection and exemptions and reports its own application counts.

6. Washington State Legislature Final bill report for SHB 1732 (2022): 18-month delay of premiums to July 1, 2023 and partial benefits for people born before 1968.

   Retrieved October 19, 2026. Public record. Linked, not hosted.

   Reliability: Government. Nonpartisan legislative staff summary of the bill as enacted.

Limitations and reproducibility

Fully reproducible: build.js (Node.js, no dependencies) regenerates every table and saved-analysis result from the constants it states. Each constant is taken from a cited source: the 0.58% rate and $36,500 cap from RCW 50B.04; 3.55% wage growth, 2.4% benefit indexing and the 4.0% ultimate net investment earned rate from Milliman's 2024 actuarial valuation and the Office of the State Actuary's summary of it; wage percentiles from BLS OEWS May 2025.

• These are projections for hypothetical workers, not records of what any person has paid. Premiums began July 1, 2023, so no one has yet paid for a full career.
• All dollars are in 2026 dollars, deflated by the 2.4% a year at which the actuary assumes the benefit will be indexed. If the benefit is indexed by more or less than wages grow, the comparison shifts accordingly.
• The maximum benefit is the most a person can receive, not what a typical person receives. About half of people who reach 65 never receive paid long-term care, and their benefit is worth nothing to them in cash terms; others use only part of it.
• The present-value comparison assumes the whole benefit is used in one year at age 85 (alternatives at 75 and 80 are in break-even-scenarios) and discounts at the fund's own assumed 4.0% return. A lower discount rate raises the present-value break-even wage; a higher one lowers it.
• Career-average wages are compared with a cross-section of 2025 wages (BLS OEWS), which spans young and old workers in one year. Career averages are less spread out than one year's wages, so the share of workers above a break-even wage is approximate.
• BLS OEWS wages exclude overtime and nonproduction bonuses, while WA Cares charges premiums on all wages, so OEWS understates the taxable wages of some workers.
• The premium rate is 0.58% under current law. From 2026 the Pension Funding Council may lower it, though not raise it without legislation; after voters approved investing the fund in stocks in 2025, a lower rate is possible.
• The model ignores taxes: premiums are paid from after-tax wages, and the tax treatment of benefits is not modeled.