FactHub saved analysis

Long-form Washington and U.S. monthly theft rates

How did Washington monthly motor-vehicle-theft rates compare with U.S. rates from 2018 through 2025?

Coverage: 2018-01-01 through 2025-12-01 (96 calendar months)

Node: dataset:washington-mvt-rate-comparison:1:analysis:monthly-rate-long-series

Contained in Washington and U.S. Motor-Vehicle-Theft Rate Comparison.

What this dataset measures

The reusable chart renderer requires long-form series data. This release reshapes the published wide monthly table without changing values, enabling an accessible two-line comparison tied to an exact source release.

Saved analyses

Long-form Washington and U.S. monthly theft rates

Question: How did Washington monthly motor-vehicle-theft rates compare with U.S. rates from 2018 through 2025?

Result: A 192-row long-form time series containing Washington and United States monthly reported-offense rates.

Operation: reshape-two-rate-columns-to-long-series

Scope: All 96 source months, producing two series rows per month.

View this analysis

  • The comparison does not control for reporting systems, vehicle fleets, economics, policing, or the Kia and Hyundai theft wave.
  • Washington coverage is lower in the second half of 2025.

Derived from

This dataset uses data from these FactHub dataset versions.

Sources

  1. Federal Bureau of Investigation Crime Data Explorer Principal source for monthly Washington and United States offenses, clearances, rates, population, and population-coverage values.

    Retrieved October 7, 2026. U.S. federal government data. Retained source response is redistributed for reproducibility with attribution to the FBI Crime Data Explorer.

  2. Washington State Legislature Official source for HB 1054 and its 2021 pursuit-law effective date.

    Retrieved October 7, 2026. Washington State public record. Linked as an official public record; source document bytes are not redistributed in this release.

  3. Washington State Legislature Official session law for SB 5352 and its immediate May 3, 2023 effective date.

    Retrieved October 7, 2026. Washington State public record. Linked as an official public record; source document bytes are not redistributed in this release.

  4. Washington State Legislature Official session law for Initiative 2113 and its June 6, 2024 effective date.

    Retrieved October 7, 2026. Washington State public record. Linked as an official public record; source document bytes are not redistributed in this release.

Limitations and reproducibility

Fully reproducible by selecting the two published rate fields and reshaping them from wide to long form.: For each of the 96 source months, emit a Washington row using wa_offense_rate_per_100k and a United States row using us_offense_rate_per_100k. Preserve the month, Washington coverage, and policy-period label.

  • The United States series is a descriptive benchmark, not a causal counterfactual.
  • Temporal alignment with legal events does not identify policy effects.
  • Washington reporting coverage declines during the second half of 2025.
  • The rate values are reproduced from FBI CDE and are not recalculated by FactHub.