FactHub curated dataset

Washington capital gains tax: collections by tax year and concentration of payments, 2022-2025

Net collections of Washington's capital gains excise tax for tax years 2022-2025, the share paid by the 10 largest payments and the top tenth of payments, and the Department of Revenue's pre-enactment estimates, compiled from DOR and OFM documents.

Coverage: Tax years 2022-2025 (collections); tax years 2022-2023 and fiscal years 2023-2024 (concentration)

Node: dataset:wa-capital-gains-collections

What this dataset measures

Washington's capital gains tax is the state's closest existing example of a tax on high earners' investment income. DOR's tax-year totals are the official collection figures, and its decile table is the only official breakdown of how concentrated the payments are. The 2021 fiscal note is the estimate lawmakers voted on.

Curated data tables

These related tables form this versioned dataset release. Each table has its own downloadable file and field definitions.

Capital gains tax collections by tax year

Net capital gains tax payments by tax year with the original fiscal note estimate for comparison.

Unit of observation: Tax year

View this table

6 field definitions
FieldTypeMeaningUnitsValue type
taxYear integer Tax year in which the gains were realized; payments are due the following April. — observed
netCollectionsMillion number Net payments: payments received minus refunds issued, as of the asOf date. million US dollars (nominal) observed
netPayments integer Number of net payments. payments observed
asOf date Date of DOR's count. — observed
status string Whether the total is final-to-date or an initial count. — observed
changeFromPriorYearPct number Percent change in net collections from the prior tax year. percent derived

2021 fiscal note estimates compared with collections

Fiscal note package 63363 estimated receipts by account, gross and net, against DOR net payments for the matching tax years.

Unit of observation: Fiscal note period (fiscal year or biennium)

View this table

11 field definitions
FieldTypeMeaningUnitsValue type
period string Fiscal note period. — observed
taxYears string Tax years whose April payments fall in the period. — derived
eltaMillion number Estimated receipts to the Education Legacy Trust Account. million US dollars (nominal) estimated
cscMillion number Estimated receipts to the Common School Construction Account. million US dollars (nominal) estimated
grossCgEstimateMillion number Estimated gross capital gains tax receipts. million US dollars (nominal) derived
boCreditsMillion number Estimated B&O tax credits (GF-State and Workforce Education Investment Account), negative. million US dollars (nominal) estimated
netBillImpactMillion number The bill's net state revenue impact. million US dollars (nominal) derived
actualMillion number DOR net capital gains tax payments for the matching tax years, as of June 9, 2026. million US dollars (nominal) derived
actualToGrossRatio number actualMillion / grossCgEstimateMillion. ratio derived
actualToNetRatio number actualMillion / netBillImpactMillion, for comparison only. ratio derived
note string Comment. — derived

Concentration of capital gains tax payments

Total net payments, the 10 largest payments, and the top decile of payments, by period.

Unit of observation: Tax year or fiscal year

View this table

wa_cg_payment_concentration.csv text/csv · 475 bytes
10 field definitions
FieldTypeMeaningUnitsValue type
period string Tax year or fiscal year covered. — observed
periodType string 'taxYear' or 'fiscalYear'. — observed
asOf date Date DOR compiled the table. — observed
netPaymentsCount integer Number of net payments (All accounts). payments observed
totalNetPayments integer Total net payments (All accounts). US dollars (nominal) observed
top10Payments integer Total of the 10 largest payments, as stated in DOR's note 1 (rounded by DOR). US dollars (nominal) observed
top10SharePctReported integer DOR's stated share of the total from the 10 largest payments. percent observed
topDecileCount integer Number of payments in the top decile. payments observed
topDecilePayments integer Net payments in the top decile. US dollars (nominal) observed
topDecileSharePct number Top-decile share of total net payments. percent derived

Supporting files

Source snapshots, manifests, quality reports, documentation, and other materials used to produce or review this release.

  • build_datasets.js Transformation manifest · text/javascript · 54.6 KB (55,889 bytes)

    Node.js script holding every typed input value and computing the CSV tables and saved analyses for this dataset. Run: node build_datasets.js.

  • dataset-parts-cg.json Documentation · application/json · 23.4 KB (23,957 bytes)

    The dataset's limitations, sources, tables, events, saved analyses and forecasts as JSON, as stored in this version.

Saved analyses

Capital gains tax net collections by tax year, 2022-2025

Question: How much did Washington's capital gains tax collect for each tax year, and how much did it change from one year to the next?

Result: Net collections: $782.0M (tax year 2022), $394.7M (2023, down 49.5%), $583.8M (2024, up 47.9%) and about $1.5B (2025, up about 157%, including the new 2.9% rate on gains over $1 million).

Operation: netCollectionsMillion and changeFromPriorYearPct by tax year from the cg-collections table.

Scope: Washington capital gains excise tax (RCW 82.87), all payers, net of refunds as of June 9, 2026

View this analysis

  • Tax year 2025 is an initial count: extended returns were due October 15, 2026, and estimated payments may be revised.
  • Tax year 2025 includes the 2.9% surcharge on gains over $1 million (ESSB 5813), so it is not directly comparable with earlier years.
  • DOR's totals for each year change as refunds and amendments post; earlier releases gave different figures (for example $840.3M for 2022 in June 2025).

Share of capital gains tax collected from the 10 largest payments and the top decile

Question: How much of Washington's capital gains tax revenue came from its largest payments?

Result: Tax year 2022: the 10 largest payments were $394.3M, 51% of $780.4M, and the top tenth of payments (341) supplied 85.6%. Tax year 2023: the 10 largest were $129.1M, 31% of $416.7M; the top tenth supplied 73.5%.

Operation: top10SharePctReported as stated by DOR; topDecileSharePct = topDecilePayments / totalNetPayments, from the cg-concentration table.

Scope: DOR decile table as of January 6, 2025

View this analysis

  • The decile table is an earlier count than DOR's June 2026 totals ($780.4M vs $782.0M for 2022; $416.7M vs $394.7M for 2023).
  • DOR has not published a decile table for tax years 2024 or 2025.

How much of the 2022-to-2023 drop came from the 10 largest payments

Question: What share of the fall in capital gains tax collections from tax year 2022 to 2023 is accounted for by the 10 largest payments?

Result: The 10 largest payments fell by $265.2M, about 73% of the $363.7M total drop from tax year 2022 to 2023 (our calculation from DOR's decile table).

Operation: (top10 TY2022 - top10 TY2023) / (total TY2022 - total TY2023), from the cg-concentration table.

Scope: DOR decile table as of January 6, 2025

View this analysis

  • Uses DOR's January 2025 decile counts, not the later June 2026 totals.
  • Shows where the drop was concentrated, not why: market declines, timing of sales, and taxpayers leaving the state cannot be separated with this table.

Capital gains tax collections compared with the 2021 fiscal note

Question: How did collections compare with the Department of Revenue's pre-enactment estimate of capital gains tax receipts?

Result: Against the fiscal note's gross capital gains receipts, tax year 2022 collections ($782.0M) were 1.48 times the FY2023 estimate ($527M), and tax years 2023-2024 combined ($978.5M) were 0.84 times the 2023-25 estimate ($1,162M). Tax year 2025 alone ($1.5B) already exceeds the whole 2025-27 estimate ($1,258M). Against the bill's net total (which subtracts B&O credits) the ratios would be 1.77 and 1.00.

Operation: actualMillion / grossCgEstimateMillion, where gross = Education Legacy Trust + Common School Construction receipts in fiscal note package 63363, and actual = DOR net payments for the tax years whose April payments fall in that period. The ratio to the bill's net total (after B&O credits) is shown for comparison.

Scope: Fiscal note periods FY2023 and 2023-25 (tax years 2022-2024); 2025-27 shown without a ratio

View this analysis

  • Fiscal-year and tax-year totals are not identical: some payments and refunds fall in other fiscal years.
  • Tax year 2025 includes a 2.9% surcharge enacted after the 2021 estimate (estimated separately at about $151M for FY2026).

Forecast vs. actual

Each forecast beside the value later observed by a saved analysis. FactHub computes the error as the actual value minus the forecast; for a range, it is zero inside the range and otherwise measured from the nearest bound.

Forecast Forecast value Actual Error Percent error Source
Gross capital gains tax receipts, FY2023 (tax year 2022 payments), FY2023 (tax year 2022)
Washington Department of Revenue (fiscal note for SSB 5096),
527 million US dollars 782 million US dollars
Tax year 2022, net payments as of June 9, 2026
Capital gains tax collections compared with the 2021 fiscal note
+255 million US dollars +48.39% OFM Fiscal Note Package 63363, SSB 5096 (2021), capital gains tax, as passed
Gross = $500M Education Legacy Trust + $27M school construction. The bill's net total ($442M) subtracts B&O tax credits, which do not reduce capital gains payments. The note estimates fiscal-year cash; DOR reports tax-year net payments.
Gross capital gains tax receipts, 2023-25 biennium (tax years 2023 and 2024), 2023-25 biennium (tax years 2023-2024)
Washington Department of Revenue (fiscal note for SSB 5096),
1162 million US dollars 978.5 million US dollars
Tax years 2023 and 2024 combined, net payments as of June 9, 2026
Capital gains tax collections compared with the 2021 fiscal note
-183.5 million US dollars -15.79% OFM Fiscal Note Package 63363, SSB 5096 (2021), capital gains tax, as passed
Gross = $1,028M Education Legacy Trust + $134M school construction; the bill's net total ($974M) subtracts $188M of B&O credits. The note gives no fiscal-year split of gross receipts for this biennium.

Sources

  1. Washington Department of Revenue, Capital Gains Tax - Tax Year 2025 Initial Collections Net payments and number of net payments by tax year, 2022-2025, as of June 9, 2026; return and extension counts for tax year 2025.

    Retrieved October 21, 2026. Public record of a Washington state agency. Figures restated with attribution; the page is linked, not hosted.

    Reliability: Government. The Department of Revenue administers and collects the tax and publishes these totals from its own payment records. Totals change as refunds and late payments post, so each figure is tied to its as-of date.

  2. Washington Department of Revenue, Research & Fiscal Analysis, Capital gains tax payments by decile (as of January 6, 2025) Net payments by decile of payment size, and the total of the top 10 payments with DOR's stated share, for tax years 2022 and 2023 and fiscal years 2023 and 2024.

    Retrieved October 21, 2026. Public record of a Washington state agency. Figures restated with attribution; the PDF is linked, not hosted.

    Reliability: Government. DOR's research office compiled the table from payment records. Its tax-year totals ($780.4M for 2022, $416.7M for 2023) are earlier counts than DOR's June 2026 figures and differ because of later refunds and payments.

  3. OFM Fiscal Note Package 63363, SSB 5096 (2021), capital gains tax, as passed The Department of Revenue's pre-enactment estimate by account: Education Legacy Trust $500M and school construction $27M in FY2023 ($527M gross), $1,028M and $134M in 2023-25, $1,070M and $188M in 2025-27, less B&O tax credits (net bill totals $442M, $974M, $1,053M); assumptions on taxpayers (about 7,000) and compliance.

    Retrieved October 21, 2026. Public record of a Washington state agency. Figures restated with attribution; the PDF is linked, not hosted.

    Reliability: Government. Official fiscal note prepared by DOR for the Legislature before the vote. It grows 2018 capital gains with CBO realization forecasts and assumes no behavioral response other than charitable giving.

  4. OFM Fiscal Note Package 75010, ESSB 5813 (2025), 2.9% capital gains surcharge over $1 million Estimate for the added 2.9% rate on gains over $1 million from tax year 2025: about $151.0M in FY2026 (Education Legacy Trust Account capital gains portion), about 900 taxpayers.

    Retrieved October 21, 2026. Public record of a Washington state agency. Figures restated with attribution; the PDF is linked, not hosted.

    Reliability: Government. Official fiscal note prepared by DOR before the 2025 vote; the surcharge applied retroactively to January 1, 2025.

Limitations and reproducibility

Reproducible: Every value is typed from a DOR or OFM document named in the field's sourceIds. The build script (build_datasets.js, Node.js) holds the inputs and recomputes every derived value and saved analysis.

  • DOR revises its totals as refunds and late payments post, so each figure is tied to an as-of date; the decile table (January 2025) and the collection totals (June 2026) are different snapshots.
  • Tax year 2025 is an initial count and includes the 2.9% surcharge on gains over $1 million that took effect that year.
  • DOR counts payments, not individual taxpayers.
  • Fiscal-note estimates are by fiscal year or biennium and collections by tax year, so comparisons are approximate. Comparisons use the note's gross capital gains receipts, not its net bill total, which also subtracts B&O tax credits.

Publications using this dataset

Version details

The exact citing versions, and the version of this dataset each cites.

  • Article wa-capital-gains-tax-concentration — version 4 (published) cites version 2
  • Article wa-capital-gains-tax-concentration — version 3 (published) cites version 2
  • Article wa-millionaires-tax-volatility — version 5 (published) cites version 2
  • Article wa-millionaires-tax-volatility — version 4 (published) cites version 2
  • Chart wa-capital-gains-collections-by-year — version 2 (published) cites version 2
  • Briefing wa-i-645 — version 6 (published) cites version 2
  • Briefing wa-i-645 — version 4 (published) cites version 2