Saved analyses
Capital gains tax net collections by tax year, 2022-2025
Question: How much did Washington's capital gains tax collect for each tax year, and how much did it change from one year to the next?
Result: Net collections: $782.0M (tax year 2022), $394.7M (2023, down 49.5%), $583.8M (2024, up 47.9%) and about $1.5B (2025, up about 157%, including the new 2.9% rate on gains over $1 million).
Operation: netCollectionsMillion and changeFromPriorYearPct by tax year from the cg-collections table.
Scope: Washington capital gains excise tax (RCW 82.87), all payers, net of refunds as of June 9, 2026
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- Tax year 2025 is an initial count: extended returns were due October 15, 2026, and estimated payments may be revised.
- Tax year 2025 includes the 2.9% surcharge on gains over $1 million (ESSB 5813), so it is not directly comparable with earlier years.
- DOR's totals for each year change as refunds and amendments post; earlier releases gave different figures (for example $840.3M for 2022 in June 2025).
Share of capital gains tax collected from the 10 largest payments and the top decile
Question: How much of Washington's capital gains tax revenue came from its largest payments?
Result: Tax year 2022: the 10 largest payments were $394.3M, 51% of $780.4M, and the top tenth of payments (341) supplied 85.6%. Tax year 2023: the 10 largest were $129.1M, 31% of $416.7M; the top tenth supplied 73.5%.
Operation: top10SharePctReported as stated by DOR; topDecileSharePct = topDecilePayments / totalNetPayments, from the cg-concentration table.
Scope: DOR decile table as of January 6, 2025
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- The decile table is an earlier count than DOR's June 2026 totals ($780.4M vs $782.0M for 2022; $416.7M vs $394.7M for 2023).
- DOR has not published a decile table for tax years 2024 or 2025.
How much of the 2022-to-2023 drop came from the 10 largest payments
Question: What share of the fall in capital gains tax collections from tax year 2022 to 2023 is accounted for by the 10 largest payments?
Result: The 10 largest payments fell by $265.2M, about 73% of the $363.7M total drop from tax year 2022 to 2023 (our calculation from DOR's decile table).
Operation: (top10 TY2022 - top10 TY2023) / (total TY2022 - total TY2023), from the cg-concentration table.
Scope: DOR decile table as of January 6, 2025
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- Uses DOR's January 2025 decile counts, not the later June 2026 totals.
- Shows where the drop was concentrated, not why: market declines, timing of sales, and taxpayers leaving the state cannot be separated with this table.
Capital gains tax collections compared with the 2021 fiscal note
Question: How did collections compare with the Department of Revenue's pre-enactment estimate of capital gains tax receipts?
Result: Against the fiscal note's gross capital gains receipts, tax year 2022 collections ($782.0M) were 1.48 times the FY2023 estimate ($527M), and tax years 2023-2024 combined ($978.5M) were 0.84 times the 2023-25 estimate ($1,162M). Tax year 2025 alone ($1.5B) already exceeds the whole 2025-27 estimate ($1,258M). Against the bill's net total (which subtracts B&O credits) the ratios would be 1.77 and 1.00.
Operation: actualMillion / grossCgEstimateMillion, where gross = Education Legacy Trust + Common School Construction receipts in fiscal note package 63363, and actual = DOR net payments for the tax years whose April payments fall in that period. The ratio to the bill's net total (after B&O credits) is shown for comparison.
Scope: Fiscal note periods FY2023 and 2023-25 (tax years 2022-2024); 2025-27 shown without a ratio
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- Fiscal-year and tax-year totals are not identical: some payments and refunds fall in other fiscal years.
- Tax year 2025 includes a 2.9% surcharge enacted after the 2021 estimate (estimated separately at about $151M for FY2026).